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翻译

虽然这么多转会谣言从未传出水面，但有没有低于预期互换交易吗？即便如此，你能想到许多两家俱乐部都对他们的交易结果感到满意的地方吗？

附录A：曼联和阿森纳交换亨里克·姆希塔里安和亚历克西斯·桑切斯。两支好球队，两名优秀球员和两步失败。如果这是最好的例子，也许交换最好不要管。

但西班牙最近报道了一笔涉及利物浦和巴塞罗那的交易。孟菲斯·德佩和罗伯托·菲尔米诺都处于当前合同的最后一年，据称俩人都可以加入对方的俱乐部（互换东家），在职业生涯中迈出下一步。

正如缺乏之前的球员互换所表明的那样，这种双重举动很有可能不会发生。还有一个强有力的案例，即使事实证明这是一个现实的可能性，也不应该发生。然而，就红军要去哪里而不是他们去过哪里而言，从他们的角度来看，交换德佩和菲尔米诺是有道理的。

利物浦的9号是俱乐部的传奇人物。335次出场、101个进球和70次助攻（根据LFCHistory）就足以证明了这一点，即使在考虑到他提供的无数难忘时刻和他赢得的奖杯之前。但时代在继续，球队也是如此。

红军在夏天签下了达尔文·努涅斯，很难想象出比菲尔米诺更不同的前锋。这位前本菲卡球员在对方禁区中的活动，但除此之外很少参与其中，这与巴西人提供的完全相反。

利物浦在老特拉福德2-1失利，我们看到了这个大写。在一场如果努涅斯没有被停赛，他可能会参与的比赛中，菲尔米诺的平均位置在中圈，比詹姆斯·米尔纳更深，与哈维·埃利奥特持平。但乌拉圭人不会这样跑位。

虽然主教练拥有各种攻击选项很重要，但现实是，红军的团队已经继续向前进步，并正在定期超越对菲尔米诺的需求。他远不是第一个发生这种情况的球员，他也不会是最后一个。

这就是德佩可以进入竞争的地方。你可以找到声称利物浦有兴趣签下他的故事，可以追溯到2015年，甚至在克洛普加入俱乐部之前。然而，这位荷兰人将范迪克和吉尼·维纳尔杜姆列为他最频繁的国家队队友之一，但他在那年夏天选择了加入曼联。

虽然这加盟曼联也并没有成功，但德佩在里昂重振了他的职业生涯，并享受了三个赛季，他在法甲的进球和助攻都达到了两位数（根据FBRef）。但在从红军的角度来看，可以说更有趣的是他去年在巴塞罗那的所作所为。

从表面上看，自上个赛季开始以来，13个联赛进球（包括4次点球）和2次助攻充其量是一个坚实的回报。利物浦的分析师将对他的基本数据更感兴趣，但事实证明这确实很有趣。根据Statsbomb，在过去365天内，数据在德佩之上的10名进攻中场或边锋中有3名是路易斯·迪亚斯、萨迪奥·马内和穆罕默德·萨拉赫。

这立即表明，这位巴塞罗那人适合克洛普的球队，他也可以覆盖他们需要掩护的地方。对于菲尔米诺的所有技能，他打到中间，或者他不在球队里。你不会发现他会从宽阔的位置开始。

迪奥戈·若塔可以替代迪亚斯或萨拉赫的不在不在场，他（菲尔米诺）很可能会缺席，但他主要与努涅斯争夺核心角色。尽管交换的交易不太可能，但找一个年轻两岁、更多才多艺的球员，以换取一个不再像以前那样强烈地适应球队风格的球员是一个有趣的提议。它不应该被轻易忽视。

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原文

While so many transfer rumours never come to pass, is there any type with a lower hit rate than a mooted swap deal? Even then, can you think of many where both clubs were satisfied with their end of the trade?

Exhibit A: Manchester United and Arsenal exchanging Henrikh Mkhitaryan and Alexis Sanchez. Two good teams, two excellent players and two failed moves. If that’s the best example, perhaps swaps are best left alone.

But a deal of this nature involving Liverpool and Barcelona has recently been reported in Spain. Memphis Depay and Roberto Firmino are both in the final year of their current contracts and it has been claimed that each could join the other’s club to take the next step in their career.

As the lack of previous player swaps illustrates, there’s every chance this dual move will not occur. There’s also a strong case it shouldn’t happen even if it turns out to be a realistic possibility. In terms of where the Reds are going rather than where they’ve been, an exchange of Depay and Firmino makes sense from their perspective though.

Liverpool’s No.9 is a club legend. Having 335 appearances, 101 goals and 70 assists ( per LFCHistory ) is evidence enough of that, even before considering the countless memorable moments he has provided and the trophies he has won. But times move on, and so do football teams.

The Reds signed Darwin Nunez in the summer and it’s hard to think of a more different forward than Firmino. The former Benfica man comes alive in the opposition penalty box but is otherwise rarely involved, the polar opposite of what the Brazilian provides.

We saw this writ large during Liverpool’s 2-1 defeat at Old Trafford. In a match in which Nunez would likely have started had he not been suspended, Firmino’s average position was in the centre circle, deeper than that of James Milner and level with Harvey Elliott. That would not have been the case for the Uruguayan.

While it is important for a manager to have a variety of attacking options, the reality is that the Reds’ team has moved on and is evolving past the need for Firmino on a regular basis. He is far from the first player to whom this has happened, and he won’t be the last.

And this is where Depay could enter the fray. You can find stories claiming Liverpool were interested in signing him going back as far as 2015, before Klopp even joined the club. Yet the Dutchman – who counts Virgil van Dijk and Gini Wijnaldum among his top five most frequent international teammates – opted to join United that summer.

Although that move didn’t work out, Depay reinvigorated his career at Lyon, enjoying three seasons in which he hit double figures in Ligue 1 for both non-penalty goals and assists ( per FBRef ). Arguably more interesting, at least from the Reds’ perspective, is what he has done over the last year with Barcelona.

At face value, 13 league goals (including four spot kicks) and two assists since the start of last season is a solid return at best. The analysts at Liverpool will be far more interested in his underlying data, which does prove interesting though. Per Statsbomb, three of the 10 attacking midfielders or wingers to whom Depay has been most statistically similar in the last 365 days are Luis Diaz, Sadio Mane and Mohamed Salah.

This immediately suggests the Barcelona man would be suitable for a Klopp side, but also that he could cover where they need cover. For all Firmino’s skills, he plays through the middle or he’s not in the team. You would not find him starting in the wide positions.

Diogo Jota could, and likely would if Diaz or Salah were unavailable, but he is primarily vying with Nunez for the central role. As unlikely as the swap deal is, getting a player who is two years younger and is more versatile in exchange for one who no longer fits the style of the team as strongly as he once did is an intriguing proposition. It should not be dismissed lightly.

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