看来只能到时候验证了，就是不知道混池在上半还是下半<img src="https://i5.hoopchina.com.cn/newsPost/1723025457166_o_w_100_h_106_18039718.png"/>

不过4.5的混池在上半，跟千织是同步的，这次既然双新UP都能放上半，那发生啥都有可能了

关注了，记得到时候发帖<img src="https://i3.hoopchina.com.cn/hupuapp/bbs/0/0/thread_0_20220731165903_s_25909_o_w_810_h_595_79234.jpg"/>

import random def simulate_draws_corrected(trials=100000): success_count = 0 for _ in range(trials): count_1 = 1 count_2 = 0 success = True if count_1 <= count_2: target = 1 # Target the number with fewer counts else: target = 2 # Target the other number while count_1 < 7 or count_2 < 7: # Draw a card if target == 1: if random.random() < 0.5: count_1 += 1 else: draw = random.choices([2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7], weights=[1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1])[0] if draw in [3, 4, 5, 6, 7]: success = False break elif draw == 2: count_1 += 1 # Since the next draw is guaranteed to be 1 count_2 += 1 # Increment count for the current draw elif target == 2: if random.random() < 0.5: count_2 += 1 else: draw = random.choices([1, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7], weights=[1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1])[0] if draw in [3, 4, 5, 6, 7]: success = False break elif draw == 1: count_1 += 1 # Since the next draw is guaranteed to be 1 count_2 += 1 # Increment count for the current draw if count_1 <= count_2: target = 1 # Target the number with fewer counts else: target = 2 # Target the other number if success and count_1 >= 7 and count_2 >= 7: success_count += 1 return success_count / trials # Run the corrected simulation probability = simulate_draws_corrected(trials=100000) print(f"Estimated probability of success: {probability}") 随手写的，不确定对不对，概率是0.2446%，没有考虑混池的捕获明光（不确定有没有）<img src="https://i5.hoopchina.com.cn/newsPost/1734690948729_o_w_86_h_150_eac4e8cc.jpg"/>

谢了，感觉并非不可战胜<img src="https://i5.hoopchina.com.cn/hupuapp/bbs/0/0/thread_0_20241222114149_s_204984_o_w_542_h_554_78993.jpg"/>

到时候文字直播<img src="https://i5.hoopchina.com.cn/newsPost/1723025457166_o_w_100_h_106_18039718.png"/>

我在混池补仙家姐妹花11个命座，（穿）插抽（卡）时全部歪到姐妹命座的概率，和抽星见雅连续4次连金的概率哪个大一点啊<div><center class="hupu-img" data-origin="https://i11.hoopchina.com.cn/editor/d091c12764891559392a916cb1ebd9af.png?x-oss-process=image/format,png" data_url="https://i11.hoopchina.com.cn/editor/d091c12764891559392a916cb1ebd9af.png?x-oss-process=image/resize,w_1000/format,png" src="https://i11.hoopchina.com.cn/editor/d091c12764891559392a916cb1ebd9af.png?x-oss-process=image/resize,w_600/format,jpg/quality,Q_60" ></center></div><div><center class="hupu-img" data-origin="https://i3.hoopchina.com.cn/editor/4f7d7814eb69eb5265f07439c0fd4304.png?x-oss-process=image/format,png" data_url="https://i3.hoopchina.com.cn/editor/4f7d7814eb69eb5265f07439c0fd4304.png?x-oss-process=image/resize,w_1000/format,png" src="https://i3.hoopchina.com.cn/editor/4f7d7814eb69eb5265f07439c0fd4304.png?x-oss-process=image/resize,w_600/format,jpg/quality,Q_60" ></center></div><div><center class="hupu-img" data-origin="https://i1.hoopchina.com.cn/editor/463c6ceeba6d6639fadccaba5e657b82.jpeg?x-oss-process=image/format,png" data_url="https://i1.hoopchina.com.cn/editor/463c6ceeba6d6639fadccaba5e657b82.jpeg?x-oss-process=image/resize,w_1000/format,png" src="https://i1.hoopchina.com.cn/editor/463c6ceeba6d6639fadccaba5e657b82.jpeg?x-oss-process=image/resize,w_600/format,jpg/quality,Q_60" ></center></div>

我在混池补仙家姐妹花11个命座，（穿）插抽（卡）时全部歪到姐妹命座的概率，和抽星

喷累了，来点数学题

可以不用再战斗了

我在混池补仙家姐妹花11个命座，（穿）插抽（卡）时全部歪到姐妹命座的概率，和抽星见雅连续4次连金的概率哪个大一点啊<div class="slate-image" style="margin:0 auto"><img data-origin="https://i11.hoopchina.com.cn/editor/d091c12764891559392a916cb1ebd9af.png" src="https://i11.hoopchina.com.cn/editor/d091c12764891559392a916cb1ebd9af.png"></div><div class="slate-image" style="margin:0 auto"><img data-origin="https://i3.hoopchina.com.cn/editor/4f7d7814eb69eb5265f07439c0fd4304.png" src="https://i3.hoopchina.com.cn/editor/4f7d7814eb69eb5265f07439c0fd4304.png"></div><div class="slate-image" style="margin:0 auto"><img data-origin="https://i1.hoopchina.com.cn/editor/463c6ceeba6d6639fadccaba5e657b82.jpeg" src="https://i1.hoopchina.com.cn/editor/463c6ceeba6d6639fadccaba5e657b82.jpeg"></div>

虎扑体育网

全部回复